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On Friday (June 2), Beijing time, the U.S. Department of Labor announced that the U.S.’s monthly seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls recorded 0.0 million people, lower than expected. The U.S. monthly unemployment rate per ten thousand people is %, and the expected and previous values are both .%. Gold rose after the data was released, but then plunged within a minute, erasing the day's gains.
As the non-farm payrolls report was weaker than expected, the U.S. dollar fell after the data was released, and gold once climbed to U.S. dollars per ounce. However, after the European market closed, around 0:00 Beijing time, the gold futures market experienced a sell-off with a nominal value of up to 100 million U.S. dollars in one minute, causing the price of gold to fall below the important threshold of the U.S. dollar.
According to C federal funds rate futures trends, about an hour after the data was released, the probability of a monthly interest rate hike reflected in market prices has increased to .%, while it was .% before the employment report was released, and once fell below % after the report was released. Although the number of non-agricultural employment increased by only 0.000 per month, which was lower than the 0.000 per month expected by the market, the market ultimately judged that the probability of raising interest rates has increased sharply.
Every time non-farm payrolls increase, the market will re-digest expectations for interest rate hikes. The U.S. financial website pointed out that although the monthly non-farm payrolls fell short of expectations, it was enough to prove that the U.S. job market is still strong, thus supporting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in the coming months. There are two major highlights in the monthly report: the U.S. monthly labor participation rate rebounded by .%, hitting the highest monthly average hourly wage in six months. The monthly average hourly wage increased by .%, and the annual rate increased by .%, returning to the level of more than two-digit levels touched in May and October. year high.
Deutsche Bank chief economist Lavornia pointed out that overall, the monthly non-farm payrolls report still puts the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates monthly. In addition, the market has almost ignored the possibility of a monthly interest rate hike. After the report was released, expectations for a monthly interest rate hike fell to .% from .% on Thursday, which means that the market basically believes that there is no chance of a monthly interest rate hike.
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